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п»їNFL Football Picks.
Chiefs vs. Bucs Super Bowl Pick ATS.
The Zman likes the Kansas City Chiefs to win and get the spread cover in Super Bowl LV. See what he’s banking here!
Super Bowl 55 Pick: Chiefs vs. Bucs.
NFL Handicapper Ted Walker is betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win Super Bowl 55. Read his detailed reasoning here.
Super Bowl LV Total Pick.
The No. 2 and the No. 5 scoring offenses will battle it out in Super Bowl LV, so it’s no surprise that the books have set the O/U line at 56.5. NFL handicapper Jay Horne explains which side of the line holds the betting value.
Super Bowl LV Best Prop Bets.
Winning and losing is always the main focus when it comes to placing football bets, but with the Super Bowl, it’s just as much about “having fun.” Most bettors will let it all hang out on Super Bowl Sunday with a ton of prop bets. Win, lose or draw, it’s ok to have a good time once a year. Check out Loot’s favorite Super Bowl LV prop bets.
Bills vs. Chiefs Prop Bets.
With a short point spread and no true advantage either way, we look to NFL prop bets to quench our thirst for betting action! Check out Dan’s proposition bet predictions for Sunday’s AFC Championship game between the Bills and Chiefs!
Bucs vs. Packers Picks: Prop Bets.
With both teams playing excellent football, the Buccaneers/Packers point spread isn’t easy to crack. In times like this, there’s often times better value to be found in betting on props. Check out Dan’s list of value bets for the TB/GB NFC Championship game!
NFC Title Pick: Bucs vs. Packers Spread Winner.
NFL handicapper Ted Walker has a strong play versus the spread on this week’s NFC tital game. Get his side pick backed by analysis.
Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Total Pick.
by Jay Horne | Jan 20, 2021 | nfl.
Some bettors find more value in the playing the total and that’s exactly where Horne’s money is landing. Get his reasoning and O/U prediction.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Pick.
by Jay Horne | Jan 19, 2021 | nfl.
What happens when two really good teams meet? The point spread isn’t easy to predict in this scenario, so with few to no edges, an over/under bet is a great betting option! Check out Jay’s take on the TB/GB total here!
AFC Championship Picks: Bills at Chiefs.
The Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship game might be better than the Super Bowl! Check out Loot’s Buf/KC pick here!




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п»їThe Top NFL Fantasy Football Sleepers for 2020.
Share This Story.
The first round of your fantasy draft is usually pretty predictable. Though there might be some variance in order, you and your buddies pick the usual suspects: Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley, Ezekiel Elliott, etc.
Yawn. Who gets which star largely boils down to the luck of the draft order.
Things get interesting, and fantasy aptitude really comes into play, after that. Leagues are often won by the fantasy manager with the best eye for identifying sleepers -- undervalued talents. We’re talking about the managers who “reached” for Derrick Henry, Dalvin Cook, or Lamar Jackson last year.
We want to help you be that guy this year -- the one who has friends saying, “How’d you know?!” Below are seven players you should target in your draft this season.
Michael Gallup.
Clearly, Gallup isn’t the top dog in Dallas’ passing arsenal -- that status belongs to Amari Cooper -- but the pair of young wideouts formed a two-headed monster last season. While Cooper had 79 catches, the 24-year-old former Colorado State Ram had 66 of his own, to go along with 1,107 receiving yards and six touchdowns.
Gallup’s role in the offense will only increase this season, as veterans (and Dak Prescott favorites) Jason Witten and Randall Cobb both left in free agency. Those guys had a combined 166 targets last year. That’s a lot!
Expect some of that action to go in Gallup’s direction. He isn’t Cooper, but he still belongs high on your WR big board.
Ben Roethlisberger.
Big Ben is back. After a season-ending elbow injury in September limited him to two games for the season, the 38-year-old seems hungrier than ever to prove he’s one of the league’s best QBs. If video evidence from this summer is any indication, he’s healthy, too.
People will be dubious because of his age, but remember who we’re talking about here. In his most recent healthy season (2018), he posted 5,129 passing yards and 37 total touchdowns, making him the No. 3 QB in all of fantasy. Though Antonio Brown isn’t wearing the black and yellow anymore, Ben has an emerging, well-rounded receiving corps that includes JuJu Smith-Schuster, James Washington, Diontae Johnson, Eric Ebron, and stud rookie Chase Claypool.
If you can get Roethlisberger among the first 10 QBs -- and we’re guessing you can, given that most rankings have him in the middle of the league -- he’s worth the ‘risk.’
Allen Robinson.
Let’s all pour one out for Allen Robinson. The former Penn State star has had terrible QB luck in the NFL. Blake Bortles. Mitchell Trubisky. Can A-Rob get a break?
Despite his signal-caller misfortune, Robinson has consistently posted top fantasy numbers. Last year, he had 98 catches for 1,147 yards and seven scores.
This season, he could be stuck with the same old Trubisky again. or he could have a new Trubisky, or Nick Foles, under center. Despite spending most of his career as a backup, Foles has better QBR, TD%, and INT% numbers than the 2017 No. 2 overall pick. Foles is a proven winner with the potential to put Chicago’s talented roster over the top.
The worst-case scenario is that A-Rob replicates his output from last season. Not bad! Best-case: the quality at QB improves, either by Foles stepping in or by the veteran’s presence motivating Trubisky to elevate his game, and A-Rob becomes a legitimate top-scoring WR.
Damien Harris.
This one is more of a long shot, but the payoff could be massive. The Patriots’ running back situation is very much in flux. New England fans are far from sold on 2018 first-round pick Sony Michel, who will start this season on the Physically Unable to Perform list and had a disappointing 2019. James White is an asset who any team would be lucky to have, but he’s a pass-catching back, not an every-down guy.
Last year’s third-round pick, Harris, could step into that role. The versatile former Alabama standout could turn into a mainstay next to Cam Newton (or Jarrett Stidham), or he could simply become the goal-line back, siphoning those precious, beautiful TD points.
Either way, he’ll almost certainly be involved in New England’s RB rotation -- and he’ll likely be available at the end of your draft. Take a flier!
Mecole Hardman.
The Chiefs have a number of sexy receiving weapons: Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, and Sammy Watkins foremost among them. Hardman doesn’t have that same sheen -- but don’t sleep on him.
As a rookie in 2019, he had 26 catches. Not too impressive, right? Well, those receptions went for 538 yards and six TDs. He’s a big-play threat every time he touches the ball. Talk about explosiveness.
Expect his role to increase in his sophomore campaign. Watkins has been woefully inconsistent throughout his career, and there’s reason to believe Hardman could overtake him in Andy Reid’s WR pecking order. Additionally, another injury to Tyreek Hill, or one to Travis Kelce (who will turn 31 this season), would mean more opportunity for Hardman.
The defending champs have an embarrassment of riches. With Pat Mahomes throwing the pigskin, Hardman is a mid-round WR to seriously consider.
Darrell Henderson.
Man, Todd Gurley. Life really does come at you fast.
With the former fantasy darling now in Atlanta, L.A. has an RB battle on its hands. Rookie Cam Akers and Henderson are squaring off for the top role, and veteran Malcolm Brown is also in the mix.
Internet buzz indicates Akers is in line to be the starter, but keep in mind that we’ve had a shortened offseason. Akers has to learn the offense and adapt to the NFL. That would make life hard for any rookie. Akers also isn’t as versatile as Henderson, who is a strong pass-catcher -- and we know how Sean McVay loves throwing to his backs.
Henderson will have a role in the offense regardless of whether he’s RB1, and he has real breakout upside.
Brandin Cooks.
Cooks had a dismal 2019, catching only 42 passes for 583 yards and two TDs -- his lowest totals since his rookie campaign -- before being traded to Houston this offseason. He isn’t DeAndre Hopkins, of course, but expect Cooks to bounce back with the Texans.
Deshaun Watson is one of the best QBs in the league, and Cooks will likely be his top weapon. Cooks is a speed demon with the talent and intellect to adapt to different systems, as he’s shown throughout his career, and he should develop quick chemistry with Watson.
It’s easy to forget Cooks is only 26 and was plagued by concussions last season. During a healthy 2018, he had 80 catches for 1,204 yards. Expect a return to form for Cooks in 2020.


In Depth Fantasy Football Analysis.
A select handful of fantasy football sleepers we have targeted to break out in 2021.
Divisional Round Fantasy Sleepers.
Looking for some sneaky, low-owned upside to play in your fantasy football lineups this weekend? We've got at least 1 target for every team .
Last Call For Sleepers.
8 more sleepers that have caught our eye over the past couple of weeks.
12 Fantasy Football Sleepers.
12 guys with league-winning upside available in the middle or late rounds of fantasy drafts.
7 PPR RB Sleepers.
Matt Breida hits 2020 with potential to smash his ADP. He leads a group of receiving backs who could boost your fantasy football roster.
7 PPR WR Sleepers.
7 WRs with sneaky target upside set to return big value in your PPR drafts.
Last Call for Sleepers.
With training camps and the preseason in the books, we've got 5 more sleepers to target late in your fantasy draft.
IDP Sleepers to Grab This Weekend.
Got an IDP draft coming up? Then you'll want to know about these 5 players .
11 Fantasy Football Sleepers.
Want to find upside in the double-digit rounds of your draft? Of course you do. And here are 11 targets in that range poised to deliver.
6 PPR WR Sleepers.
6 WRs with sneaky target upside set to return big value in your PPR drafts.
5 PPR RB Sleepers (and 1 bonus deep sleeper)
We've got 5 RBs going late in drafts with the pass-catching upside to help your PPR squad (plus 1 deep sleeper to monitor this preseason).


Fantasy top 10 sleeper candidates for 2020-21.
MORE FANTASY COVERAGE : Top 250.
1. Oliver Bjorkstrand , LW/RW, CBJ.
He was having a breakout fantasy season for the Columbus Blue Jackets prior to an ankle injury last season, leading them in goals (21) and points per game (0.73) in 49 games. Bjorkstrand, who should again be available outside the top 150 overall in fantasy drafts, will have great lineup placement with either center Pierre-Luc Dubois (10 points in 10 Stanley Cup Playoff games) or bounce-back candidate Max Domi (acquired from Montreal Canadiens; 72 points in 2018-19).
2. Thatcher Demko , G, VAN.
He was brilliant as a rookie for the Vancouver Canucks in the 2020 postseason, nearly leading them to a series comeback against the Vegas Golden Knights after being down 3-1 in the Western Conference Second Round. Demko was 2-1 with a .985 save percentage (128 saves on 130 shots faced) and one shutout in four appearances, including three starts facing elimination. Demko should form a strong timeshare tandem with Braden Holtby , who signed a two-year contract with Vancouver on Oct. 9, after the departure of Jacob Markstrom in free agency (signed with Calgary Flames) and could emerge as the starter as early as this season.
3. Evgenii Dadonov , LW/RW, OTT.
Dadonov, who signed a three-year contract with the Ottawa Senators on Oct. 15, scored a combined 81 goals over the past three seasons (T-36th in NHL) with the Florida Panthers. Dadonov no longer brings exposure to Florida's elite duo of Aleksander Barkov and Jonathan Huberdeau but should remain fantasy-relevant in Ottawa with left wing Brady Tkachuk , defenseman Thomas Chabot and left wing prospect Tim Stuetzle (No. 3 pick in 2020 NHL Draft). Dadonov, who scored at least 65 points in each of his first two full seasons with the Panthers, has a realistic chance at 55-60 for the much-improved Senators, who also acquired a proven goalie in Matt Murray from the Pittsburgh Penguins.
4. Alex Tuch , LW/RW, VGK.
The Golden Knights wing led them in goals (eight in 20 games) during the 2020 postseason despite playing mostly on the second or third line at even strength. Tuch, who was limited to 42 games last regular season because of injury, had an NHL career-high 52 points (20 goals, 32 assists) in 2018-19 and brings the security of playing for one of the safest fantasy teams. Tuch averaged more than a hit per game (1.4; 58 total) last season and saw some time on a line with valuable right wing Mark Stone in the postseason, indicating Tuch could take on an expanded role this season.
5. Jake DeBrusk , LW/RW, BOS.
He scored an NHL career-high 27 goals in 2018-19 but took a step back last season and has yet to reach his full potential through three seasons, including the playoffs (23 points in 49 games). But considering elite wings Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak could miss the start of the season after offseason surgeries, DeBrusk could start on a line with top center Patrice Bergeron and make a case for the Bruins to spread out their top scorers once they return to full strength. At worst, DeBrusk will be a fixture on the second line with center David Krejci and likely right wing Craig Smith , who signed a three-year contract with the Bruins on Oct. 10.
6. Nate Schmidt , D, VAN.
He was acquired by the Canucks from the Golden Knights on Oct. 13. Schmidt, who scored at least 30 points in each of his three seasons with the Golden Knights, goes from one deep offense to another in the Western Conference. He could have his best season yet if he plays on the Canucks' top pair with Quinn Hughes (led rookies with 53 points in 68 games last regular season) at even strength after the departure of Christopher Tanev (signed with Flames) in free agency.
7. Anthony Beauvillier , LW, NYI.
The New York Islanders left wing had nine goals (tied with center Brock Nelson for their lead), 14 points and 67 shots on goal (second behind Anders Lee 's 72) in 22 postseason games. Beauvillier has scored at least 18 goals in each of the past three regular seasons but should build on his NHL career highs in goals (21) and points (39), especially given his strong performance on the second line with Nelson and wing Josh Bailey in the playoffs. Beauvillier would also have an even higher ceiling if he plays more often with top center Mathew Barzal , at least on the power play, where Beauvillier has only averaged 1:14 per game in his NHL career (18 PPP in 286 games).
8. Kasperi Kapanen , LW/RW, PIT.
He was acquired by the Pittsburgh Penguins from the Toronto Maple Leafs on Aug. 25 and is expected to start the season on the top line with elite forwards Sidney Crosby and Jake Guentzel . Kapanen played on mostly the second or third line and had a minimal power-play role with the Toronto Maple Leafs but still reached 20 goals and 44 points in 2018-19 and could reach a new gear on this high-scoring unit.
9. Cam Talbot , G, MIN.
He left the Calgary Flames to sign a three-year contract with the Minnesota Wild on Oct. 9 and is expected to be their No. 1 goalie this season, especially with Alex Stalock out indefinitely because of an upper-body injury. Talbot, who has been a valuable fantasy goalie before (NHL career-high 42 wins with Edmonton Oilers in 2016-17), should benefit from playing behind one of the strongest top four defenseman groups in the NHL with Ryan Suter , Jared Spurgeon , Matt Dumba and Jonas Brodin and a sneaky offense featuring young wings Kevin Fiala and rookie Kirill Kaprizov .
10. Jesse Puljujarvi , RW, EDM.
He signed a two-year contract with the Edmonton Oilers on Oct. 7 after not playing in the NHL last season. Puljujarvi, the No. 4 pick in the 2016 NHL Draft, had 53 points (24 goals, 29 assists) in 56 games for Karpat of Liiga, Finland's top professional league, last season and is worthy of a late fantasy pick with the opportunity for a top-six role with an elite center in either Connor McDavid or Leon Draisaitl .
Other sleeper candidates : Alexandar Georgiev , G, NYR; Ryan Pulock , D, NYI; Samuel Girard , D, COL; Jack Hughes , C/LW, NJD; Roope Hintz , C/LW, DAL.


Best, Worst, Sleeper WR values for fantasy 2020.
Time now to take a look at the wide receiver position. It was only a few years ago that we drafted players like Antonio Brown with the first overall pick in fantasy because of his consistent production. And while I give you a moment to let that sink in, the receiver position is still valued because of the pass-happy nature of the NFL. It does mean there is better opportunity to grab top-line talent later on in drafts.
Let's start here with some of the best draft values in 2020.
Best wide receiver values.
Calvin Ridley, WR, Atlanta Falcons.
It seems like everyone has been in on this one. Most fantasy enthusiasts who missed on Chris Godwin are trying to get out in front of this one. It's like missing out on a fad and trying to get in on the next thing. Like if you're just now starting to get into planking. And I'll be honest, it always scares me when the entire fantasy community comes together to hype a player. It's like when everybody started giving out positive reviews for Justice League , because it just seemed like something was amiss. But I'm not overly concerned about Ridley because of the sheer volume available in Atlanta's passing game. The Falcons led the NFL in passes attempted last year (42.8 per game). And Ridley was amazing when Austin Hooper was out of the lineup, averaging 22.5 fantasy points per game in his absence. I bring this up because Austin Hooper is in Cleveland. What, maybe you didn't already know?
Will Fuller, WR, Houston Texans.
Be prepared. Your friends are going to make fun of you when you draft Fuller. They will make jokes about his availability. But you need to be undaunted. It's like when you started drinking Truly and all of your friends mocked you. Who was laughing later that afternoon when they were all begging you for one of those refreshing drinks? That's right, YOU! But DeAndre Hopkins is gone, meaning there is a significant number of targets available this year (Hopkins ranked fifth in the NFL with 150 targets last year). Fuller has scored at least 21 points in five of the eight games where he's had at least eight targets. Give him a chance and he can win a league for you.
D.K. Metcalf, WR, Seattle Seahawks.
I've been grabbing more shares of Metcalf here in his second season, even drafting him over Tyler Lockett in some spots. Which seems crazy. The reason I love Metcalf this year is that he led the NFL in end zone targets in 2019 (16). He scored at least 11 fantasy points in 11 games last year. And the Seahawks were fourth in the NFL with 31 touchdown passes last year. And if you can put aside the corniness of Russell Wilson's social media videos, the better off you will be.
Other players I like this year include: Jarvis Landry , who had at least 10 fantasy points in 12 games last season. His 20 red zone targets were the third-highest total in the league. … Marvin Jones Jr. is another receiver I've targeted. He had eight red zone touchdowns last year, the highest total in the league despite playing in just 13 games.
Worst wide receiver values.
Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys.
I quote from one of the greatest philosophers of our time -- Katy Perry -- who once said, "you're hot then you're cold. You're yes then you're no. You're in then you're out." And I'm going to have to leave you off my draft board. Your ADP is way too high for the production. Cooper had four games with 100-plus receiving yards from Weeks 1-10. He had no such games from Week 11-17, right in the heart of the fantasy playoffs when we needed you the most. The Cowboys drafted CeeDee Lamb. And while Cooper said there is room for three 1,000-yard receivers, I just don't see it from this offense. (Especially since it's Blake Jarwin season), so I'm out.
Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers.
I love Keenan Allen. He's one of the best receivers in the game. It's not him. It's his quarterback. Tyrod Taylor has topped 300 passing yards once in 45 career starts. He's had three-plus touchdowns in six of those games. The Chargers have said they have faith in Tyrod. But they drafted Justin Herbert with the sixth overall pick. If you like the quarterback so much, why are you drafting his replacement? That's made me pass on Allen given his current ADP of the fourth round. I'd take Terry McLaurin, Courtland Sutton or Marquise "Hollywood" Brown over him.
Some other receivers with worse value include: Tyler Boyd . I would love Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense in a year with a full preseason. Then you are starting to see more receivers added to the mix for the Bengals with Tee Higgins drafted in the second round and the return of A.J. Green (who I'm also avoiding). Plus, Boyd has scored five touchdowns or fewer in three of four seasons. … DeVante Parker also concerns me. Did he really break out last year, or was it the absence of Preston Williams? I want to believe in Parker because he has immense talent. But I can't seem to pull the trigger in the fifth round.
Sleepers.
Diontae Johnson, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers.
Too many people are sleeping on DJ with the return of Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers led the NFL in pass attempts in 2018 with Big Ben at quarterback. Diontae led all 2019 rookies with 59 receptions, while he led the Steelers in receiving touchdowns (five) and targets (92). He also averaged 3.6 yards of separation per target last year, the most among receivers with at least 50 targets. He's going to break out this year.
Hunter Renfrow, WR, Las Vegas Raiders.
I know it's really easy to see Renfrow as the Julian Edelman of the Raiders. And yeah, that's pretty much all that I have. Just kidding. But Renfrow was second-to-last in air-yards-per-target last year. But that doesn't matter much in the Raiders' scheme. With Henry Ruggs III brought in to stretch the field, I see more opportunities for Renfrow to thrive in the slot and be a PPR monster this year.
UPDATE: As I wrote this, Raiders OC Greg Olson said Ruggs will start in the slot this season. And well, all we can do now is put on a brave face. I don't mind taking Renfrow in the latter rounds. Like rounds 14-15. Because he showed ability last year. Had great chemistry with Derek Carr. And he's one of those players who feel like will always find a way to survive and thrive. He's a great flier at the end of drafts. But I would move Ruggs up your draft boards for this season.
Some other sleeper receivers: I mentioned Preston Williams earlier. He led the Dolphins in targets (60), receptions (32), receiving yards (428) and air yards (861) from Weeks 1-9 before his season-ending ACL. Monitor his health in camp. But a number of Dolphins have opted out already. … Marquise Brown . He led the Ravens in targets. And being the top-targeted player on the Ravens is a lot like owning the most jackets while living on the equator. But I'm taking a shot on Brown this year.


Divisional Round NFL DFS Picks: Best value players, sleepers for DraftKings, FanDuel daily fantasy football lineups.
After a wild-card weekend that can only be described as “interesting,” the 2020 NFL Playoffs now jump right into the divisional round. Not everyone seemed to be a fan of the expanded bracket last week, but it certainly provided a full slate for DFS managers. The depth charts of eight teams now remain, and whether you play on DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo, you will need to choose each roster spot wisely to bring in some daily fantasy football winnings before Super Bowl Sunday on Feb. 7.
My job, all 17 regular-season weeks and now two weeks into the postseason, is to scan the vast projections on RotoQL and pick my favorite sleepers and value picks. If you checked this column out last week, you would have benefited from our advice to plug in the following players (all wild-card weekend prices and fantasy points production via DraftKings):
Ben Roethlisberger ($6,100): 41.1 fantasy points Drew Brees ($5,700): 18.8 Nick Chubb ($6,700): 24.5 Jonathan Taylor ($7,900): 14.6 Chase Claypool ($5,200): 22.9 Marquise Brown ($5,400): 19.8 Logan Thomas ($4,900): 12.4.
These players all vastly outperformed their price tiers, with a few even leading their positions for the week. By finding such great values at modest costs, DFS managers afforded themselves even more consistent studs in other roster spots.
You can read divisional round weekend previews and fantasy prediction articles 24/7 on BetQL, find out which side the pros are betting on their NFL expert picks dashboard, follow all the NFL public betting data, and build DraftKings lineups on RotoQL.
Let's break down our top divisional round DFS value plays, and you can get an idea of why 100,000 DFS players trust RotoQL to build lineups. We constantly monitor pricing and provide the most up-to-date insight and analysis to maximize your lineup success. Optimize, find value plays, and increase your chances of cashing today!
Divisional Round NFL DFS Picks: QB sleepers, values.
Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefst (DK: $5,300 | FD: $7,400)
In one of the more shocking developments of wild-card weekend, Mayfield and the Browns absolutely laid the hammer down on the Steelers. In the 48-37 barnburner, Mayfield passed for 263 yards and three touchdowns and finished with a 115.2 QB rating against a Steelers defense ranked top three in points, yards, and passing. The 2018 No. 1 pick has clearly taken a huge step forward in his third season, and he proved last week that he can be more than a game manager in big games against good defenses. Now he gets to prove himself on an even larger stage, going up against 2018 MVP Patrick Mahomes and his defending-champion Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City ranks 26th in fantasy points allowed to QBs, and Arrowhead will be at limited capacity. RotoQL projects Mayfield at 15.4 fantasy points with a 33.5-point ceiling. I think Baker cooks up another 20-plus points this week and maybe even serves up another upset.
Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK: $5,600 | FD: $7,300)
Cue the “History Channel” quips surrounding this game, as starting QBs Brees and Tom Brady will have a combined age of 85 at kickoff. Brees actually turns 42 on Friday, and he’s clearly put his punctured lung and 11 broken ribs in the rear-view mirror. He has averaged 18.08 fantasy points since his Week 15 return from IR, and he logged 23.68 points against the Bucs in Tampa back in Week 9. Don’t tell my Brady-obsessed friends in New England, but I think Brees leads New Orleans back to the NFC Championship Game for the second time in three years (and only the third time since the Super Bowl-winning 2009 Saints). Consider riding the birthday boy in the battle of the elder statesmen.
Divisional Round DraftKings, FanDuel Picks: RB sleepers, values.
Cam Akers, Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers (DK: $5,700 | FD: $7,000)
Akers powered LA to a stunning 30-20 upset over the Seahawks in Seattle last week, with the rookie netting 176 scrimmage yards and a score. He has been an absolute stud since Week 12, averaging 17.1 PPR points per game in that span. Regardless of who starts under center for the Rams this week, Akers seems like too much of a value to pass up at $5,700. Green Bay’s defense ranks 28th in fantasy points allowed to RBs this season. RotoQL projects him to score 14.7 points with a 28.6-point ceiling.
Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $4,800 | FD: $6,200)
Hunt narrowly missed my list last week, as he let me down after I featured him one week prior in a meaningless Week 17 dud game. He promptly scored 19.1 PPR points in wild-card weekend, helping Mayfield and the Browns steamroll their way into the divisional round. Hunt’s dual-threat talent, in a game projected to total over 55 points, should pique the interest of savvy DFS managers. The Chiefs rank 25th against RBs in fantasy, and their defense could be rusty after sitting some studs in Week 17 ahead of their first-round playoff bye. Kansas City allowed the Chargers to rack up 135 yards and two touchdowns on the ground in Week 17 and nearly surrendered 2,000 total rushing yards during the regular season. Hunt and lead back Nick Chubb will be very busy, win or lose. RotoQL lists his ceiling at 29 fantasy points.
High-risk, high-reward pick:
Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens (DK: $4,500 | FD: $5,700)
Rookie back Zack Moss suffered a postseason-ending ankle injury last week, leaving QB Josh Allen with Singletary as the bellcow of the backfield. The Ravens defense is stout but will be primarily focusing its attention on Allen’s high-flying passing game. There’s some boom appeal here, as Singletary is capable of racking up some yards out of the backfield or in the screen game.
Divisional Round FanDuel, DraftKings Picks: WR sleepers, values.
Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (DK: $6,100 | FD: $7,500)
While Mike Evans, Antonio Brown, and Rob Gronkowski seem to get the most buzz in Tampa, Tom Brady’s best receiver is Godwin. He’s a great route-runner, and he’s sure-handed. With his midseason thumb injury now a distant memory, Godwin has averaged 23.8 PPR points over the Bucs’ past three games. He saw 28 targets from Brady in that span, including a whopping 12 last week in the 31-23 win over Washington. Brady should keep his new favorite wideout busy again this week, with Evans likely blanketed by familiar foe Marshon Lattimore.
Jarvis Landry, Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $5,600 | FD: $6,900)
All aboard the Browns bandwagon! I hate to keep bringing up Cleveland players here, but I just can’t look the other way from some of these prices. Landry has averaged 18.5 PPR points in the Browns’ past three games and nearly 20 points per game over their past six. Among Cleveland receivers, he’s the undisputed leader in snaps, target share, and production. Mayfield will be slinging the ball early and often, and Landry will once again benefit. Kansas City has a good pass defense, but so did Pittsburgh the last couple weeks.
High-risk, high-reward pick:
Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Rams (DK: $3,800 | FD: $5,500)
MVS has been one of the more volatile boom-or-bust receivers in the NFL this season, but MVP candidate Aaron Rodgers always seems to send the deep ball his way in big games. The third-year receiver logged 17.1 fantasy points in Week 17 and averaged a league-leading 20.9 yards per catch on the year. If you’re strapped with just the flex position left, Valdes-Scantling might be worth the bargain-bin buy.
FULL-SLATE DIVISIONAL ROUND DFS: DraftKings | FanDuel.
Divisional Round NFL DFS Picks: TE sleepers, values.
Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills (DK: $5,000 | FD: $6,600)
Andrews serves as one of the few reliable tight ends in fantasy, and he now draws a Bills defense that has been the second-most generous to the position this season. He has been fairly quiet the past couple weeks, but his floor remains higher than anyone else at or below his price range, and he will be busy in what should be a high-scoring game. Fire him up if you don’t have the dough for Travis Kelce.
Austin Hooper, Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $3,800 | FD: $5,500)
I know, I know -- I look like I belong in the Dawg Pound (and I’ll be in the dog house if Cleveland lays an egg this week). But in Cleveland’s past four games, Hooper has scored 15.1, 14.1, 13.7, and, most recently, 17.6 PPR points. That’s awesome consistency from a guy who plays a position largely devoid of consistent studs. Scoop up Hoop.
BetQL, RotoQL’s sister product, simplifies the research process for sports bettors by equipping them with real-time line movements, value bets of the day and meaningful team trends. Check it out here!
Divisional Round NFL DFS values: D/ST sleepers.
Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens (DK: $2,900 | FD: $4,000)
Leslie Frazier’s defense has been one of the surprises of the second half of the 2020 season, and RotoQL lists it as the best value of the sub-$3,000 units on DraftKings. Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have been much more mistake-prone this season than last, and they will have to throw the ball early and often to stand a chance against Josh Allen in Buffalo. I like the upside here.




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п»їCollege Fantasy Football: Expert DFS picks, sleepers for Week 10 DraftKings contests.
Daily college fantasy football is all about getting the most bang for your buck. Last week, Mohamed Ibrahim and Jahan Dotson, among others, put up monster numbers for their owners and more than paid off their price tags. Week 10 will have plenty of it’s own spectacular performances, and some of them could come from North Carolina-Duke, Penn State-Maryland, and Georgia-Florida, just to name a few. All of these games have high projected over/unders or excellent individual player matchups, and you can bet plenty of DFS owners will target players from these games in their DraftKings contests.
Take a look at the CFBDynasty top plays in college DFS this week, and join CFBDynasty as a member for weekly college fantasy football rankings, college DFS advice, and more.
NOTE: Check back for updates ahead of Saturday's games.
Week 10 College Fantasy Football DraftKings Picks: QBs.
TIER 1: Best plays.
Sam Ehlinger, Texas vs. West Virginia ($9,300)
Justin Fields, Ohio State vs. Rutgers ($9,500)
TIER 2: Value plays.
Desmond Ridder, Cincinnati vs. Houston ($8,700)
Dorian Thompson-Robinson, UCLA @ Colorado ($7,800)
TIER 3: Sleeper plays.
Spencer Sanders, Oklahoma State @ Kansas State ($7,600)
Feleipe Franks, Arkansas vs. Tennessee ($6,400)
Week 10 College Fantasy Football DraftKings Picks: RBs.
TIER 1: Best plays.
Mohamed Ibrahim, Minnesota @ Illinois ($10,000)
Breece Hall, Iowa State vs. Baylor ($9,800)
TIER 2: Value plays.
Javonte Williams, North Carolina @ Duke ($8,500)
Kevin Harris, South Carolina vs. Texas A&M ($8,500)
TIER 3: Sleeper plays.
Zamir White, Georgia vs. Florida ($7,200)
Master Teague III, Ohio State vs. Rutgers ($6,900)
Week 10 College Fantasy Football DraftKings Picks: WRs/TEs.
TIER 1: Best plays.
Jahan Dotson, Penn State vs. Maryland ($8,300)
Garrett Wilson, Ohio State vs. Rutgers ($8,300)
TIER 2: Value plays.
Kadarius Toney, Florida @ Georgia ($7,800)
Treylon Burks, Arkansas vs. Tennessee ($7,400)
TIER 3: Sleeper plays.
Joshua Moore, Texas vs. West Virginia ($6,500)
Shi Smith, South Carolina vs. Texas A&M ($6,700)


College Fantasy Football: Expert DFS picks, sleepers for Week 5 DraftKings contests.
College football’s Week 5 should be great for all college fantasy football options. There are currently 15 games with a projected over/under of at least 60 points, and five more of at least 70 points. Oklahoma-Texas Tech, Arizona-UCLA and Colorado State-Utah State are just a few of the matchups with shootout possibilities. Some other games with lower projected scores can still provide great opportunities for individual players. Wisconsin's Jonathan Taylor against Northwestern (45 o/u) and TCU's Darius Anderson against Kansas (48.5 o/u) should both have good fantasy days, even if their teams don't light up the scoreboard. One of the best ways to build a DFS team is get your studs and then fill the rest of your lineup with players from the games where there will be lots of offense. Good luck in your DFS contests this week.
For more help setting your lineups this week, check out the comprehensive Week 5 rankings at CFBDynasty. CFBDynasty provides college fantasy player rankings for each position based on projected fantasy points. Use promo code "sportingnews" to save 25 percent on your membership , which gets you access to all of their exclusive weekly content.
Week 5 College Fantasy Football DFS Picks: QBs.
Best Start: Jalen Hurts, Oklahoma vs Texas Tech ($9200). Hurts may seem like an obvious choice most weeks, and with 1253 total yards and 13 TDs already, he definitely should be. But he looks especially good this week as the Sooners host the Red Raiders in what Vegas projects as a very high-scoring game, with an over/under of 71 points.
Best Value: Khalil Tate, Arizona vs UCLA ($7600). Tate has looked much more like his old self this season, rushing for over 100 yards in two of the Wildcats' first three games while passing for 684 yards and scoring eight total TDs. This week he gets to go against UCLA, a defense that's giving up almost 40 points per game.Tate should put up some huge numbers against the Bruins.
Sleeper: Cristian Solano, Nevada vs Hawaii ($6700). Solano made a quiet return from injury in week 4 against UTEP, only passing for 182 yards and two TDs but adding 100 yards rushing on the ground. This week Nevada hosts a high-scoring Hawaii team in what should be a close game with a lot of points (both defenses are ranked in the bottom half of the country). Solano will definitely have every opportunity to improve on last week's numbers.
Week 5 College Fantasy Football DFS Picks: RBs.
Best start: Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin vs Northwestern ($9000). In Week 4, Taylor reminded us why he is one of the top RBs in the country by stomping on a supposedly tough Michigan defense to the tune of 203 yards and 2 TDs. Taylor has exceeded 100 yards and had at least two TDs in every game this season. There's no reason to assume he won't do that again in Week 5 against a Northwestern defense currently giving up 150 yards per game on the ground. Taylor should run all over the Wildcats in this one.
Best Value: Jaylen Warren, Utah St vs Colorado St ($7000). Warren has scored at least 20 fantasy points in each of his first three games, leading the Aggies with 320 rushing yards and four TDs. The matchup against Colorado State has the highest over/under of the week at 72.5. That, combined with a Rams defense currently giving up 240 rushing yards per game, makes Warren an excellent value.
Sleeper: Joshua Kelley, UCLA at Arizona ($6000). Last week, Kelley finally started to look like his old self, topping 100 total yards for the first time this season and scoring a TD. Hopefully Kelley and UCLA's offense can continue their recent success as they go on the road against the Wildcats, who currently rank 120th in total defense. Considering the lack of defense on these two teams - UCLA's defense is actually worse than Arizona's at 125th - it's no wonder Vegas has this projected to be a shootout with a 72 point over/under. This game should have lots of points, and Kelley will get his share.
Week 5 College Fantasy Football DFS Picks: WRs.
Best start: Sage Surratt, Wake Forest at Boston College ($7500). Surratt has opened the season averaging five receptions for 121 yards and just more than a TD per game. He is one of the main reasons Wake Forest's passing game is top 15 in the country. This week, Surratt and the Demon Decons go on the road against a Boston College pass defense currently ranked 98th in the country. That, coupled with a high over/under projection from Vegas (71 points), makes Surratt an excellent bet to cover his averages.
Best Value: Tyler Vaughns, USC at Washington ($6300). Although last week Vaughns took a backseat to his fellow WR Michael Pittman, he still put up double-digit fantasy points. In fact, Vaughns has put up at least 13 fantasy points in every game this season. This week the Trojans will need to pass the ball as they travel to Seattle to take on the Huskies, who are averaging just more than 40 points per game. Vaughns will have plenty of opportunities for another solid game as USC tries to keep pace.
Sleeper: Elijah Cooks, Nevada vs Hawaii ($5000). Cooks started the season with a bang, catching two TDs in Week 1 and scoring 25 fantasy points. He only managed 14 fantasy points across Weeks 2 and 3, but he showed up again last week with two more TDs and 24 fantasy points. This last big game coincided with the return of QB Cristian Solano. Cooks will be shooting for his first 100-yard receiving game of the season as the Wolfpack play host to Hawaii, and hopefully with a projected 66 point over/under this game will turn into a shootout.




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NFL picks against the spread, Week 7: Will the Steelers beat the Titans?
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We’re on to Week 7 in the NFL, with the Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants facing off on Thursday. That means it’s time once again for our weekly look at the point spreads in order to help you win some money.
Last week, Steven Ruiz went 8-5-0 (44-40-4 overall) and Charles Curtis went 6-7-0 (44-40-4 overall) .
We now go to each of them for comments before their picks.
Charles: Uh-oh. I’ve awakened the sleeping dragon. Here comes Steven roaring back, and now we’re all tied up. We all knew this was going to happen, and now, armed with all the NFL knowledge in the world, he’s going to trounce me. Again.
Steven: That’s a bit better but still not good enough. Luckily, I feel a lot better about my picks. This is around the time we start to learn which teams are actually good and which are pretenders.
(All bets courtesy of BetMGM)
Giants at Eagles (-4.5)
Charles: Giants.
Ugh, I don’t know. They’re both so bad. So I’ll take the points. It’s a divisional game and the Giants defense has proven it has just enough oomph in it to keep games like this close.
Steven: Eagles.
So, the Eagles offense has actually looked decent for the last two weeks and Carson Wentz is getting hot. I know Philly’s defense is a mess but I don’t really trust a Jason Garrett-coached offense to exploit it.
Charles: Browns.
I’ve gone back and forth on this one a bunch, but in the end, all I could see was Myles Garrett sacking Joe Burrow three times and pressuring the rookie all day. Yeah, I’m worried about Baker Mayfield, but not this week when he’ll hand the ball to Kareem Hunt 25 times.
Steven: Browns.
Not quite sure the Bengals have the defense to disrupt this Browns offense and force Baker Mayfield to beat them from the pocket. They certainly didn’t in that first game.
Cowboys at Washington (-1)
(AP Photo/Michael Ainsworth)
Charles: Cowboys.
This is a game they should win. If not, yikes.
Steven: Cowboys.
I know things are going bad for the Cowboys right now, but they’re not going that bad! This Washington offense might be what Dallas needs to get its defense right.
Lions at Falcons (-2.5)
Charles: Falcons.
Steven: Lions.
This is really just a gut feeling. Both these offenses should put up points, it just comes down to which passing game you trust more. I’ll take Detroit’s.
Panthers at Saints (-7.5)
Charles: Panthers.
I hate this pick. I get the feeling the Saints, fresh off a bye, are looking to prove they’re better than their 3-2 record. But the Panthers continue to hang tough.
Steven: Panthers.
Yeah, the line is way too big. The Saints should win this one but have we seen anything from this team that suggests they should be favored by a touchdown over a competitive team?
Charles: Bills.
Steven: Jets.
I think we’ve gotten to the point where the Jets are just a bit underrated. They’re bad, but people are acting like they’re one of the worst teams in NFL history. I don’t think that’s the case.
Charles: Packers.
The Texans nearly beat the Titans. But the Packers are coming off an embarrassing loss to Tampa Bay, which will motivate them to get back on track and blow this mediocre Texans team out in Lambeau.
Steven: Packers.
Deshaun Watson has been one of the better quarterbacks in the league this season and has straight-up carried this team, BUT … Aaron Rodgers has been even better and has more help around him. And that line is more than manageable.
Steelers at Titans (-1.5)
Charles: Steelers.
Shouldn’t this line be reversed? The Steelers are the better defense, so I’ll gladly take the points.
Steven: Steelers.
I’m with Charles. This is an odd line that the Steelers will cover with ease. They have a defense good enough to keep Tennessee in obvious passing situations, which will hurt their play-action passing game.
Charles: Cardinals.
I think the Hawks are the better team, but I just see this game being a shootout, so I’ll take Arizona to cover, nervously.
Steven: Seahawks.
I just haven’t seen enough from this Cardinals offense to think they can beat a team as good as the Seahawks. Even against a bad Cowboys defense, Arizona’s passing game just looked off.
49ers at Patriots (-1.5)
Charles: Patriots.
Last week was a wake-up call. I think Cam Newton plays better and Bill Belichick gets the defense back on track against the QB he traded away.
Steven: Patriots.
That was a flukey loss for the Pats last week. A lot of uncharacteristic mistakes that I don’t expect them to repeat. And Bill Belichick will have Jimmy G’s head spinning.
Charles: Chiefs.
That’s a large spread, but Kansas City had no problem handling Josh Allen last week. And Drew Lock is no Josh Allen.
Steven: Chiefs.
Any concern about the Chief’s offense should have been alleviated with that performance in Buffalo. Steve Spagnuolo and this defense dominated Drew Lock mentally last season and I wouldn’t be surprised if it happened again.
Jaguars at Chargers (-7.5)
(AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)
Charles: Chargers.
I’m kind of intrigued by the points, but the Chargers are coming off a bye and Justin Jackson will run all over the Jags.
Steven: Jaguars.
Yes, the Jaguars are bad but their offense is decent and I just can’t trust a rookie quarterback making his fifth start to cover a spread that big.
Charles: Buccaneers.
Note that this line could change due to the news above. But before that, I was still going with the Bucs, whose defense is no joke.
Steven: Buccaneers.
For a second straight week, the oddsmakers are discounting the Bucs. Last week’s Packers game was a lock and this one should be, too.
Bears at Rams (-6)
Charles: Bears.
The Rams’ loss to the Niners was alarming, so I’d say this spread shouldn’t be this large. Give me the points.
Steven: Bears.
The Rams are clearly the better team — no matter what the records say — but the Bears defense is good enough to bother Jared Goff and keep this game close. I’ll take the points.
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п»ї2021 Holy Bull Stakes odds, contenders, lineup: Proven expert reveals surprising picks, predictions.
Bob Weir has been on fire, and on Saturday he targets the Holy Bull Stakes 2021 at Gulfstream Park.
Gulfstream Park's road to the 201 Kentucky Derby begins in earnest on Saturday afternoon when nine three-year-olds leave the starting gate in the 2021 Holy Bull Stakes at the Hallandale Beach, Fla., track. The connections of the horses in the Holy Bull will hope to move on to Gulfstream's next 2021 Kentucky Derby prep race, the Fountain of Youth Stakes, on Feb. 27. Gulfstream's Derby prep races conclude on March 27 with the biggest of them all, the Grade 1 Florida Derby.
For Saturday, the Shug McGaughey-trained Greatest Honour is the 5-2 favorite in the 2021 Holy Bull Stakes odds. Prime Factor (3-1) and Sittin On Go (5-1) are among the other top contenders in the 2021 Holy Bull Stakes field. Post time for the $200,000 race is 4:50 p.m. ET. With a wide-open field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, you'll want to see the horse racing predictions from proven expert Bob Weir before making any 2021 Holy Bull Stakes picks.
Based in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., Weir has been handicapping and following horse racing since reading Andy Beyer's landmark handicapping book "Picking Winners" in the late 1980s. Weir is highly invested in the Beyer Speed Figure, a number assigned to every race run by a horse that measures how fast the horse ran. He uses the figure as the backbone of his handicapping. In fact, thanks to his proficiency with speed figures and top-tier handicapping, he landed one of just eight spots on Beyer's figure-making team in 2017, a position he holds to this day.
Weir's methodology has produced multiple five-figure days. In 2014, he hit a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar. The following year, he nailed a $31,000 Pick 6 at Gulfstream Park. In 2016 and 2017, Weir qualified for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas.
Now, Weir has studied the 2021 Holy Bull Stakes lineup and has released his picks, predictions and best bets. You can see them all over at SportsLine.
Top 2021 Holy Bull Stakes predictions.
One shocker: Weir's top selection is not Greatest Honour, even though he is the 5-2 favorite. Trained by McGaughey, a member of racing's Hall of Fame, and ridden by top jockey Jose Ortiz, Greatest Honour finally entered the winner's circle in his most recent start, a 1/16 miles race at Gulfstream on Dec. 26. He also has a second and two thirds in four career starts.
But in all four starts he has not shown much speed out of the gates; he has been forced to rally from seventh in every start. That does not bode well in this field, which features some talented horses with some early speed. In addition, Gulfstream Park has historically favored speed and not been friendly to late runners.
Another surprise: Weir is high on Sittin On Go, even though he's an underdog at 5-1. This $65,000 purchase has two wins in four career starts. He hasn't raced since finishing sixth, beaten by five lengths, in the Kentucky Jockey Club at Churchill Downs on Nov. 28.
Since that race, Sittin On Go has reportedly been training well for his three-year-old debut. "Trainer Dale Romans usually makes his presence known at some point in these Gulfstream Park three-year-old races," Weir said. Weir is using Sittin On Go in all of his 2021 Holy Bull Stakes bets.
How to make 2021 Holy Bull Stakes picks.
Weir's top pick is a horse who "could be something special." He also is high a double-digit long shot who is "capable of hitting the board." Weir is including these horses in his 2021 Holy Bull Stakes bets, and so should you. He's sharing which horse to back only at SportsLine.
Who wins the Holy Bull Stakes 2021? And which horses do you need to include in your exactas and trifectas? Check out the latest 2021 Holly Bull Stakes post positions and odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Weir's picks for the Holy Bull Stakes, and find out.


My Guys: Dwain McFarland's favorite high-stakes, battle-tested fantasy football picks.
Over the summer months, I have focused on providing actionable fantasy insights across a multitude of players and situations for the 2020 fantasy season. (You can find my QB Tiers, RB Tiers, WR Tiers and TE Tiers at the corresponding links and the entire collection of PFF analysts' tiers rankings here.)
Pairing these articles with the latest rankings updates will create a firm foundation for your upcoming drafts.
The intent of this article isn't to revisit those items — they serve as a reference point. This article is about that moment when all of the research merges with optimal roster construction strategies. In this Zen-like state, it isn't about data points or projections anymore — it is about the clarity that occurs as a result of hard work.
I have drafted 10 teams at $300 or higher — battle-testing my rankings, tiers and roster-construction strategies. The following is an outline of the players I select most often.
Better known as “My Guys.”
Running Back.
Derrick Henry – With an increase in passing-down utilization, the dependency on game-scripts lessens for Henry. Darrynton Evans will be involved, too, but Henry is going to be on the field more than ever. He should be the fourth back drafted.


Five-Time High-Stakes Titleist Shares Top Fantasy Football Sleeper, Bust & Breakout.
2020 PRESEASON PRO.
Sleeper: RB Damien Harris, NE.
Heading into 2020, the Patriots have the stigma of being one of the worst offenses in the NFL after losing QB Tom Brady. Despite their offseason questions, they remain co-favorites in the AFC East with a proven 20-year history of success.
Last year I viewed Harris as the top running back in the draft, but he finished with only four catches for 12 yards while battling a couple of injuries.
RB Sony Michel lost his college explosiveness in his sophomore season in the NFL. He gained only 3.7 yards per carry with only three of his 247 runs gaining over 20 yards.
Harris showed big-play ability over his last three years at Alabama (6.8 yards per rush) while adding growth in the passing game (22/204) in 2018.
Only a late-round dart or a waiver wire follow, with a good chance to emerge as New England’s top rusher over the second half of the year.
Breakout: WR CeeDee Lamb, DAL.
When getting ready for the upcoming football season, there are two levels of research. First, a fantasy owner needs to get in tune with each player's history and market value. The next step is figuring out how each player fits in their offense. When doing this, reflecting on last year's stats is a good starting point.
Lamb won’t be a breakout by name, but he will be by his early draft value (ADP – 91 as the 34th wide receiver drafted). Last year the Cowboys moved to 2nd in the NFL in passing yards. They already have two top wide receivers (Amari Cooper – 79/1189/8 and Michael Gallup – 66/1107/6). Some fantasy owners will struggle to see enough targets for Lamb in his rookie season.
This year Lamb directly replaces WR Randall Cobb (55/828/3 on 83 targets), plus Dallas lost TE Jason Witten (63/529/4 on 83 targets). Dallas should push higher offensively, and Lamb looks to be a lock for 100 targets in his rookie season.
In 2020, Lamb will face single coverage on many plays. He has the talent to win in the deep passing game or the open field with his legs, never mind the built-in upside if one of the top two Cowboys’ WRs had an injury.
Bust: QB Lamar Jackson, BAL.
Jackson was a beast last year, thanks to his ability to run (176/1206/7). He scored 30 fantasy points or more in nine of his 15 starts.
Now, you have to be asking yourself, “How can LAMAR JACKSON be a bust?”
Last year he scored 37.3 percent of his fantasy points in the run game in four-point passing touchdown leagues. Any player carrying the ball is at risk on any play. One bad hit and Jackson could lose all his value.
Here’s the rub: Jackson showed growth as a passer (66.1 percent completion rate and 36 TDs), but he averaged only 26.7 passes resulting in 208 passing yards per game. Typically, this low total in passing yards doesn’t add up to 36 TDs.
I get the attraction to TE Mark Andrews (10 TDs) and WR Marquise Brown (seven TDs), but how do WR Willie Snead, WR Miles Boykin, WR Devin Duvernay, and TE Nick Boyle add up to impact TDs?
His WR corps ranked last in the NFL in 2019 in catches (115), receiving yards (1,419), and targets (178). And it didn’t improve much in the offseason as far as new additions.
Look for regression in his rushing attempts and TDs, and then look back at QB Patrick Mahomes in 2018 (482.45 fantasy points with 5,097 yards and 52 TDs). He missed two games last year while scoring 24 fewer TDs last year. Elite production ebbs and flows and you're going to have to draft Jackson earlier than ever.
Also, defensive coordinators across the league have been working all winter on how to slow down Jackson.
Comeback: WR Brandin Cooks, HOU.
After four straight seasons with over 1,000 yards receiving, Cooks lost his way in 2019 (42/583/2). His year started with three reasonable games (3/74/1, 8/112, and 6/71) over his first four starts. He left Week 8 early due to a concussion, which led to two missed games. In essence, Cooks offered no playable fantasy value over his final ten games (23/287/1 on 41 targets).
The trade of WR DeAndre Hopkins creates a massive opportunity for one or more wide receivers for Houston. Over the past three seasons, Hopkins caught 315 passes for 4,115 yards and 31 TDs, which was 49.1 percent of the WR catches (641), 49.6 percent of the WR receiving yards (8,299), and 54.4 percent of the WR TDs (57) for the Texans over this span.
If Cook can retain 75 to 80 percent of the WR1 targets for the Texans, he’ll push way back up the wide receiver rankings. Before last year, his catch rate (65.9) graded well while delivering 24 catches over 40 yards. He didn’t miss a game from 2015 to 2018, which led to 29 TDs in 64 games.
I expect him to finish as a top-20 wide receiver in 2020.
Stash: WR Tee Higgins, CIN.
The cloudiness at wide receiver for the Bengals will lead to Higgins flying under the radar in his rookie season. WR A.J. Green is a great player when healthy, and he looks good to go this year. WR Tyler Boyd proved to be a valuable possession type player over the last two seasons.
When adding a rookie QB, it is tough to project enough chances for Higgins in 2020. His talent is immense while only needing opportunities to prove his worth.
His early ADP (182) paints him as an upside WR6.
QB Joe Burrow jumps to the NFL with three talented wide receivers and a top ten option at running back. It would be hard to expect regression in the passing game from 2019 for the Bengals. Even in a tough division, Cinci will throw the ball a lot in 2020. Last year they ranked sixth in the NFL in passing attempts (616).
I don’t expect as many throws this year, but the quality of passing plays will improve dramatically by having Green and Higgins on the field.
A fantasy owner could look at Higgins as almost a handcuff to Green, while also having WR2 upside if one of the top two wide receivers for Cinci has an injury.


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